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Author Topic: Predictions for next ten years  (Read 1517 times)
writingchef
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« on: January 22, 2008, 06:32:47 AM »

According to Entrepreneur.com the next ten years will find the following extinct. The list includes; specialist record
stores, camera film manufacturing, physical newspapers, payphones, used bookstores, piggy banks, telemarketing and coin-operated arcades. What say you busnuts?

Dennis Myers, Editor BCM
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H3Jim
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2008, 06:42:11 AM »

I think physical newspapers may still be with us for a while.  There is something about reading the paper thats easier than looking at it on-line. 

There are still lots of books and book readers around, I'm not sure they are going away soon either. 

Piggy banks will be with us as long as we have coins, and although it seems the trend is away from hard money, its not dead yet. 

I really hope telemarketers will be gone!!
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2008, 06:43:44 AM »

Hummmmm,  I can see record stores and of course camera film manufacturing,,, payphones have been on the downslope for years, telemmarketing will just be outlawed.  No one likes them.  Have your ever heard someone say,  "Oh! this cool telemarking guy call me".   Parents will always have little piggy banks for kids.  It teaches them to save, of course, it also teaches them to rob.

My 2-cents,

Bill
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2008, 07:54:15 AM »

I think they are pretty well on target.  Like Kwajdiver, I think kids will still have piggy banks.

I would add to the list:

  • CD's will go the way of records and tapes in favor of digital downloads and storage media.
  • Internet, Cable and Phone as separate services will be gone.  They will all be delivered through a common connection, whether it be wire, optic or wireless.  Even the distinction between them will blur.
  • Copper pennies will go.  Either they will be some other metal or will be removed from circulation.
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Paladin
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2008, 08:02:25 AM »

According to Entrepreneur.com the next ten years will find the following extinct. The list includes; specialist record
stores, camera film manufacturing, physical newspapers, payphones, used bookstores, piggy banks, telemarketing and coin-operated arcades. What say you busnuts?

Dennis Myers, Editor BCM


I don't see the small record stores really going away although they certainly are a niche market now.
Camera film? I've been hearing that for a long long time, again too many film buffs who like to take photos and develop them so I sort of doubt it although the prices will certainly soar and already are going up.
Newspapers? I don't think quite yet until there is a better alternative for everyone. Too many, me included like to actually read the paper instead of off a screen.
Payphones, probably.
Used bookstores? No way!  Too many great books out of print and only in a used bookstore can you find one.
Piggy banks? Not as long as there are kids for one thing.
Telemarketing is a form of spam and like vermin, always around.
Coin op arcades? As someone who has owned and restored them for 15 years I can say that I've heard this before and they are still here although not as popular as in their heyday so I doubt this one as well. There is till something fun about stopping in and playing a game or two. The classics have made a big come back and are very popular with the aging baby boomers. I can't get my hands on enough MsPacman machines to sell to people!

-Dave
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2008, 08:15:06 AM »

Hi Dennis,

Land based telephones may go by the wayside. Newspapers seem to still be acceptable by most.

Gasoline?? possibly will phase out of the mainstream. I think in 10 years, the Oil Co's will be mostly

in the Plastics, PVC's, and polymer markets. Instead of gasoline and diesel products.

If computors get any smaller, we won't be able to use them.. Virtual toutch pads may be the future??

Nick-
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« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2008, 09:19:00 AM »

I think these predictions are about as accurate as I remember when I was a kid in the 60's all the car manufacturers were saying that cars would fly and use nuclear power or similar to power them by the year 2000.  As you can see, cars, while far more advanced than in the 60's, are alot more similar to the cars in the 60's than not.  Just look at the popularity of early Mustangs, Camaros, Barracudas, etc. to this day.
Those other predictions, while a novel idea, will be around.  Good Luck, TomC
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« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2008, 09:24:51 AM »

People who make predictions are typically looking at things from a viewpoint that does not reflect reality of what people want. That usually makes them wrong ( they are now making vinyl records again ). Like the predictions that were made in 1900 -- never figured that the Wright brothers would make an airplane. Changed the whole century.

Melbo
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« Reply #8 on: January 22, 2008, 09:38:27 AM »

I will predict that it will be 2018 and that we will never see years 2008-2017 again.  I'll go out on a limb and say that frybrid technology will still smell like donuts.  I will have gone bald and my son will be bigger than me.
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« Reply #9 on: January 22, 2008, 10:49:21 AM »

well according to the show on the history channel they said the the Myans and the Chinese and the old world prophets of 2000 plus years ago all concluded that the world would end on Dec. 21 2012. based on this I guess 10 years out would be a moot point. So lets all go rack up tons of debt and buy all the toys we always wanted and if life is still here on the 22nd we can blame Nostradamas.
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« Reply #10 on: January 22, 2008, 01:19:44 PM »

The copper penny is already gone. They've been 97.5% zinc (zinc with copper cladding) since 1983, which stopped people from melting them down for the copper value. They're also 25% lighter in weight...although you'd need a whole handful of new and old to tell the difference without a scale.

Pay phones will survive in airports, especially international airports, for many decades I think.

Coin operated arcades will go, other than small unattended operations. It makes far more sense to replace coin mechanisms with card-swipe or similar technology. Both cheaper and easier to maintain, even today.

Used bookstores will survive another generation at least.

Newspapers are dying, but they're far from dead. Neighborhood delivery of them may well be gone in 10 years (I was a newspaper boy once), but newspapers will be around for a long time, at least in major cities. And likely mail service will remain for those few who still want home delivery.
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« Reply #11 on: January 22, 2008, 01:29:39 PM »

There will always be a "Missle Command" and Crown Super Coach motorcoaches.  Smiley Smiley Smiley
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« Reply #12 on: January 22, 2008, 03:57:01 PM »

I'm hoping newspapers stay around for a while since I work at one.  The revenue at the paper I work at is tanking so I fully expect there will be a lot of layoffs again this year.

The main reason I stay is four weeks vacation and other good benefits.
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